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Staying Focused

The month of April has opened with some volatile market swings, accompanied by speculation of an escalating trade war. It’s during times like this that we need to take a step back, avoid getting caught up in the headlines, and look at the big picture of the economic and market environment. In this case, that means focusing on the fundamentals of positive economic growth, a strong earnings outlook, and still low interest rates. These are the factors that may ultimately lead to this market’s recovery and get us back into positive territory.

We’ve been experiencing volatility in the markets since early February of this year, driven first by wage inflation fears (which have since been discounted), and now the big stories are trade concerns and regulatory risk in technology. Concerning trade, the war of words between China and the United States has escalated, but it’s important to note that nothing has been put into effect yet. There is room for negotiation, and a compromise may be reached before these proposed tariffs are put in place. That said, uncertainty about the outcome is weighing on the markets.

However, it’s important to remember that volatility and the process of the stock market bottoming out is often not a one-time sell-off. For example, looking back to late 2015, we experienced a market decline in August but—despite a temporary rebound—volatility continued and the decline did not hit bottom until February 2016. So essentially, this period of volatility extended from August 2015 until February 2016. The important takeaway here is that this volatility could continue for a period of time and it doesn’t necessarily mean we’re entering a bear market.

In fact, having begun 2018 expecting a degree of volatility, LPL Research continues to maintain its forecast for positive stock returns for the year.* They also remain confident in their expectation that a “return of the business cycle”—driven by fundamentals and fiscal stimulus—will lead to continued growth and stock market gains.

The following factors may be supportive of positive market returns:

  • Increased fiscal stimulus thanks to tax cuts and increased government spending
  • Estimated double-digit earnings growth throughout 2018*
  • Still low interest rates, relative to historical averages

The bottom line is that wavering market sentiment can last over a period of weeks (or months). And although you should never be dismissive of risk, the fundamentals may win out. Back in 2015, there were low interest rates but economic growth was slowing and earnings were weakening. Now, we have strong profits and coordinated global growth to support the recovery process.

Market declines and alarming headlines are always going to grab our attention. But that’s when I encourage you to remain focused on the underlying factors that have a longer-term impact on the markets and economy. These factors suggest that the market has the potential to weather this bout of volatility, and we may see positive stock market returns for the year.

If you have any questions, I encourage you to contact me.

Important Information

*LPL Research’s S&P 500 Index total return forecast of 8–10% (including dividends), is supported by a largely stable price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19 and LPL Research’s earnings growth forecast of 8–10%. Earnings gains are supported by LPL Research’s expectations of better economic growth, with potential added benefit from lower corporate tax rates.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment.

Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted.

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee return or eliminate risk in all market environments.
This research material has been prepared by LPL Financial LLC. Tracking #1-716923

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Did You Receive a Corrected Form 1098?

You might get to deduct the mortgage interest premiums you paid in 2017 after all.

Recently, you may have received a corrected Internal Revenue Service Form 1098 from your mortgage lender. The correction probably spells good news for you.

When the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 became law in February, certain tax provisions that expired at the end of 2016 were retroactively renewed for the 2017 tax year. Among them: the tax break that allows homeowners to write off mortgage insurance premiums, or MIP.1

You may be able to deduct MIP once more and save hundreds of dollars. If you are carrying a $200,000 home loan and you are in the 25% income tax bracket, you could save about $425 in federal taxes, thanks to the comeback of this deduction. You might even be able to deduct prepaid mortgage interest and points – check with a tax professional to see.1,2

Your adjusted gross income may limit the amount of MIP you can write off. When it exceeds $100,000, the deduction enters a phase-out range. The top end of the phase-out range is $110,000; above that, the deduction for MIP disappears. Property value limits also apply.1,3

The MIP deduction must pertain to a “qualified home.” That means a home that was your principal residence during 2017. (Even if you spent the bulk of 2017 in a vacation home, that vacation home could qualify.)1,3

The I.R.S. told lenders to send corrected 1098s to borrowers by March 15. Your corrected 1098 shows you the MIP amount you paid in 2017, unlike the previous version. If you do not yet have a corrected Form 1098, contact your lender. (Lenders have been directed to file corrected 1098s with the reportable amounts by this year’s federal tax deadline.)4

Have you already filed your 2017 federal taxes, and do you expect a refund? If your answer to both of those questions is “yes,” you will have to wait until you receive your federal tax refund before you can amend your 2017 federal tax return. (It can be amended any time during 2018.)5

If you received a corrected Form 1098, talk to a tax professional. Whether you have filed your taxes yet or not, you should follow up on this development.

«representativename» may be reached at «representativephone» or «representativeemail».

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. This information has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment.

«RepresentativeDisclosure»

Citations.
1 – quickenloans.com/blog/changes-store-mortgage-insurance-premiums-1098-2017 [2/23/18]
2 – marketplace.org/2018/02/12/economy/tax-bill-2017/low-income-and-middle-class-homeowners-might-see-their-tax-refunds [2/12/18]
3 – chicagotribune.com/classified/realestate/ct-re-0225-kenneth-harney-20180220-story.html [2/22/18]
4 – bankingjournal.aba.com/2018/02/irs-issues-information-reporting-guidance-for-mortgage-insurance-premiums/ [2/23/18]
5 – tinyurl.com/yb7duvah [2/24/18]

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LPL Ranks #1 in Customer Loyalty in 2018

The most meaningful measure of how well we’re serving our clients is whether we exceed their expectations in delivering the value and commitment they need to pursue their life and financial goals.

That’s why I wanted to share with you the news that LPL and its affiliated advisors, including Cornerstone Wealth Management, were recently ranked No. 1 in customer loyalty among 21 leading financial distributor firms. It means a great deal for us to be part of a network that’s a recognized industry leader in providing quality personal service—and it’s an even greater honor that LPL has risen in these rankings in each of the past three years.

The rankings were among the findings in Investor Brand BuilderTM, a Cogent ReportsTM study released by Market Strategies International, in which 4,408 affluent investors nationwide were surveyed.*

The study explored the key aspects of client experience that drive investor loyalty. On each of the top 5 drivers of investor loyalty, LPL earned No. 1 rankings by exceeding client expectations in the following areas:

  • Quality of investment advice
  • Financial stability
  • Easy to do business with
  • Range of investment products and services
  • Retirement planning services

In addition, LPL ranked No. 1 in the likelihood of its investors recommending the firm and its advisors to their friends, families, and colleagues.

As an advisors affiliated with LPL Financial, I we are proud of this recognition by investors of the value of the objective financial advice we offer to help clients pursue their goals, and of the innovative products and services our affiliation with LPL allows us to provide access to.

I appreciate the opportunity to partner with you, and I look forward to our continued work together. Thank you for your business.

This letter was prepared by LPL Financial LLC. This is not a recommendation to purchase, or an endorsement of, LPL Financial stock. LPL Financial and Cogent are unaffiliated entities.

*Market Strategies International, Cogent Wealth Reports, “Investor Brand Builder™: Maximize Purchase Intent Among Investors and Expand Client Relationships,” November 2017.

ABOUT THE REPORT: Market Strategies International’s Cogent Wealth Reports: Investor Brand Builder™ provides a holistic view of key trends affecting the affluent investor marketplace. The November 2017 report is based on a web survey of over 4,000 affluent investors, who hold $100,000 or more in investable assets. A total of n=82 LPL advisor clients were represented in the study. Customer Loyalty is based on how likely the participant would recommend each of their investment account companies to friends, family, or colleagues. Participants also evaluate their investment account companies using a 5-point rating scale across 10 aspects of client experience.